Models of Bounded Rationality V 1 - Economic Analysis and Public Policy : Economic Analysis and Public Policy

Acknowledgments xi Introduction xv I Some Questions of Public Choice 1 1.1 "Comparative Statistics and the Measurement of Efficiency," National Municipal Review 26 (1937): 524-527. 9 1.2 "Work Loads for Professional Staff in a Public Welfare Agency: A Summary Report" (H.A. Simon, W.R. Divine, E.M. Cooper, and M. Chernin). Chicago: American Public Welfare Association, 1941. 14 1.3 "Fiscal Aspects of Metropolitan Consolidation." Berkeley: Bureau of Public Administration, University of California, 1943. Chapters 1 and 2. 25 1.4 "The Incidence of a Tax on Urban Real Property," Quarterly Journal of Economics 57 (1943): 393-420. 49 1.5 "Residential Choice and Air Pollution: A General Equilibrium Model: Appendix" (E.P. Seskin and H.A. Simon), American Economic Review 63, no. 5 (1973): 966-967. 72 1.6 "The Planning Approach in Public Economy: Further Comment," Quarterly Journal of Economics 55 (1941): 325-330. 74 1.7 "Appendix:, Economics of Milk Production and Distribution in Pennsylvania" (H.A. Simon, J.E. Holtzinger, and F.K. Miller), Report of the Public Members of the Governor's Milk Control Inquiry Committee, Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, February 1, 1965. 80 1.8 "Air Quality and Automobile Emission Control: Summary Statement," A report by the Coordinating Committee on Air Quality Studies, National Academy of Sciences and National Academy of Engineering, Vol. 1, Summary Report, U.S. Government Printing Office September 1974, H.A. Simon, Chairman. 99 II Rational Choice Under Uncertainty 2.1 "On the Application of Servomechanism Theory in the Study of Production Control," Econometrica 20 (1952): 247-268. 115 2.2 "Optimal Decision Rules for Production and Inventory Control" (C.C. Holt and H.A. Simon), Proceedings of the Conference on Operations Research in Production and Inventory Control, 1954, pp. 73-89. Cleveland: Case Institute of Technology. 137 2.3 "The Control of Inventories and Production Rates A Survey" (H.A. Simon and C.C. Holt), Journal of the Operations Research Society of America 2 (1954): 289-301. 181 2.4 "Some Properties of Optimal Linear Filters," Quarterly of Applied Mathematics 12 (1955): 438-440. 194 2.5 "A Linear Decision Rule for Production and Employment Scheduling" (C.C. Holt, F. Modigliani, and H.A. Simon), Management Science 2 (1955): 1-30. 197 2.6 "Dynamic Programming Under Uncertainty with a Quadratic Criterion Function," Econometrica 24 (1956): 74-81. 227 2.7 "Reply: Surrogates for Uncertain Decision Problems," unpublished ONR Research Memorandum #38, GSIA-CIT, January 1956. 235 2.8 "Optimal Problem-Solving Search: All-Or-None Solutions" (H.A. Simon and J.B. Kadane), Artificial Intelligence 6 (1975): 235-247. 248 III Technological Change 261 3.1 "Effects of Increased Productivity Upon the Ratio of Urban to Rural Population," Econometrica 15 (1947): 31-42. 269 3.2 "Some Economic Effects of Technological Change," unpublished manuscript. 281 3.3 "Effects of Technological Change in a Linear Model," Activity Analysis of Production and Allocation, edited by T. Koopmans, pp. 260-277. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1951. 307 3.4 -Me Effects of Atomic Power on National or Regional Economics." Economic Aspects of Atomic Power, edited by S.H. Schurr and J. Marschak, pp. 219-247. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1950. 325 3.5 Atomic Power and the Industrialization of Backward Areas," Economic Aspects of Atomic Power, edited by S.H. Schurr and J. Marschak, pp. 248-273. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1950. 354 3.6 "Heuristic Problem Solving: The Next Advance in Operations Research" (H.A. Simon and A. Newell), Operations Research 6 (1958): 1-10. 380 3.7 "Technology and Environment," Management Science 19 (1973): 1110-1121. 390 IV Structure of Economic Systems 403 4.1 "Note: Some Conditions of Macroeconomic Stability" (D. Hawkins and H.A. Simon), Econometrica 17 (1949): 245-248. 407 4.2 "Aggregation of Variables in Dynamic Systems" (H.A. Simon and A. Ando), Econometrica 29 (1961): 111-138. 411 4.3 "A Note on the Cobb-Douglas Function" (H.A. Simon and F.K. Levy), Review of Economic Studies 30 (1963): 93-94. 442 4.4 "On Parsimonious Explanations of Production Relations," The Scandinavian Journal of Economics 81 (1979): 459-474. 444 4.5 "Bandwagon and Underdog Effects and the Possibility of Election Predictions," Public Opinion Quarterly 18 (1954): 245-253. 460 Index 469