The Behavioral Origins of War

Preface & Acknowledgments ix Toward a Better Understanding of Theories of International Conflict 1(14) Comparative Hypothesis Testing and Some Limits to Knowledge 15(20) Choosing and Testing the Arguments: The Practice and Pitfalls of Comparative Hypothesis Testing 35(35) Arguments and Operational Measures 70(37) Findings 107(58) Assessing a Model's Reliability across Space and Time 165(35) Conclusion 200(23) Appendix A Data Development and Cumulation for International Relations: EU Gene 223(9) Appendix B Measuring Expected Utility 232(17) Notes 249(8) Bibliography 257(20) Index 277