Business Cycles

Name: Business Cycles
Author: Ulrich Woitek

An International Comparison of Stylized Facts in a Historical Perspective

Specificaties

Paperback, 209 blz. | Engels

Physica-Verlag HD | 1997e druk, 1997

ISBN13: 9783790809978

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Juridisch :

Physica-Verlag HD 1997e druk, 1997 9783790809978

Onderdeel van serie Contributions to Economics

60,99

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Subject is the description of unvariate and multivariate business cycle stylized facts. A spectral analysis method (Maximum Entropy spectral estimation) novel in the analysis of economic time series is described and utilized. The method turns out to be superior to widely used time domain methods and the "classical" spectral estimate, the periodogram. The results for eleven OECD countries confirm and extend the basic set of stylized facts of traditional business cycle theory. The changing characteristics of the business cycle are analyzed by comparing the cyclical structure for the postwar and the prewar period. The results show that business cycle is mainly due to investment fluctuations.

Specificaties

ISBN13:9783790809978

Taal:Engels

Bindwijze:paperback

Aantal pagina's:209

Uitgever:Physica-Verlag HD

Druk:1997

Hoofdrubriek:Economie

Serie:Contributions to Economics

Inhoudsopgave

1 Introduction.- I The Methodology.- 2 Illustrating the Methodology: The Case of Germany.- 2.1 Introduction.- 2.2 Visual Analysis.- 2.3 Time Domain Methods.- 2.4 The Frequency Domain.- 3 Spectral Analysis.- 3.1 Introduction.- 3.2 Spectral Measures.- 3.3 The Maximum-Entropy Spectrum.- 3.4 Parameter Estimation.- II Empirical Results.- 4 Business Cycle Stylized Facts in the OECD Countries.- 4.1 Overview.- 4.2 Postwar Period.- 4.2.1 Univariate Results.- 4.2.2 Multivariate Results.- 4.3 Prewar Period.- 4.3.1 Univariate Results.- 4.3.2 Multivariate Results.- 5 Conclusion.- A The Detrending Problem.- A.1 Spurious Cycles.- A.2 Persistence of Shocks.- A.3 Testing for Unit Roots.- A.3.1 The Dickey-Fuller Test.- A.3.2 Limitations of the Dickey-Fuller Test.- A.3.3 Structural Breaks.- B Tables.- B.1 Postwar Results.- B.2 Prewar Results.- References.