Transport decisions in an age of uncertainty

Avant-propos/Foreword.- Liste des présidents/List of chairmen.- Opening Session.- Welcome speech.- Keynote addresses.- Trends in thinking on traffic and transport policy in recent decades and the role of research on which policy is based.- Allocution.- Allocution.- A development banker’s view.- Keynote address.- Session II: 1 Urban transport problems.- An agenda for urban transportation.- Tendances de la recherche dans les transports urbains — un point de vue.- Urban mass transportation in India.- Urban transportation polity in Poland.- Application of research works to metropolitan transportation development.- Session II: 2 Intercontinental transportation.- The Relationship of research to decisionmaking in intercontinental traffic.- Transport decisions in an age of uncertainty — Trends in port research.- Polity applications of research on the development and evaluation of air fares on the North Atlantic.- Intercontinental transportation and the marine container system.- Session II: 3 Intercity passenger travel.- The Northeast Corridor: Has research influenced policy?.- Intercity passenger transport travel in Egypt, performance and problems.- Conclusions from Action 33.- Long distance passenger transport: the Australian experience.- National traffic planning in developed countries — Taking the Federal Republic of Germany as an example.- Workshop 1: Passenger demand analysis.- An equilibrium mode-split model of work trips along a transportation corridor.- The theory and practice of car ownership forecasting.- Report on investigations of household travel decisionmaking behavior.- Aggregate forecasting with disaggregate travel demand models using normally available data.- Session II: 4 Regional transport planning (freight).- Decision issues and research priorities in intercity freight transportation: a U.S. perspective.- Transport policy and regional policy in the European communities.- Planning for inland navigation in Western Europe.- Session III: 1 Passenger demand analysis.- Passenger travel demand forecasting: Applications of disaggregate models and directions for research.- Equilibrium between travel demand, system supply and urban structure.- Personal travel in towns: the development of models that reflect the real world.- European passenger travel demand — Analysis and strategy responsive forecast.- Considerations on the design of behavioural orientated models from the point of view of empirical social research.- Session III: 2 Freight demand analysis.- Transport demand models and policy — a comparative analysis.- Forecasting freight demand.- Management — a Potential source of improved long-term demand forecasts in aviation and shipping.- Reflexions sur la situation et les objectifs de la recherche dans le domaine des transports de marchandises.- Workshop 2: Analysis of technology performance and cost analysis (land, air and marine).- Bus acquisition and retirement decisions.- The uncertainty of decisionmaking in a direct democracy.- The inseparability of operationel control policy analysis and strategic planning — An experience with U.S. airports.- Session III: 3 Analysis of technology performance and cost analysis (Land modes).- Operational requirements for new transit technology.- The U.S. owner-operator trucker: A transportation policy based on personal bankruptcy.- A system analysis of effectiveness of energy saving measures in transport.- Aspects of governmental research and development funding programmes for ground transportation systems.- A road transport investment model for developing countries.- Fondements techniques et économiques du transport ferroviaire des voyageurs à grande vitesse.- Research issues in rail transport operations.- Session III: 4 Analysis of technology performance and cost analysis (air and marine).- Advanced airline planning models as a tool for developing regulatory policy.- Aspects économiques de la propulsion nucléaire civile.- Interaction of costs and technological developments in the shipping industry.- Uncertainties in airport cost analysis.- Session III: 5 Safety and environmental considerations.- Safety at sea and related research.- Pedestrian safety: The role of research.- Some observations on evaluation methods pertinent to selection of a public urban transport system.- Environmental problems related to railways in Japan (Special reference to the Shinkansen).- Environmental impact assessment and transport facilities.- Workshop 3: Systems analysis.- Measuring the impacts of Singapore’s area license scheme.- Transportation systems management; Alternatives to capital investment in a period of uncertainty.- Uncertainty and the transport investment decision.- A predictive model of highway interchange land use development: A decision tool for planning.- The effect of alternative urban forms on two-mode transportation system requirements.- Session IV: 1 Systems analysis.- An integrated system for airline planning and management information.- Management information systems in local public transport.- Planification opérationnelle des transports urbains en commun: approches et applications.- Transport international et pays en voie de développement.- Infrastructural growth and developmental planning: A comparative study of road infrastructure in the national development of Asean countries.- EMME: A planning method for multi-modal urban transportation systems.- Session IV: 2 Socio-economic factors.- Scope for the substitution of labor and equipment in civil construction — A progress report.- Rural road planning in developing countries.- Mobility problems and solutions for elderly, handicapped and poor persons in the U.S..- Social assessment of technology and its application to urban transportation.- The state of mobility research.- Session IV: 3 Comprehensive approaches.- Accessibility and its application to a dynamic model of spatial land-use distribution.- Freight transport models as a tool for management.- Minimizing uncertainties in master planning the transport sector of a developing country.- Traffic research relating to both short-term and longterm traffic planning.- The planning of an airport system, a comprehensive approach.- Workshop 4: Intercity passenger travel/Regional transport planning (freight).- CANPASS: A strategic planning capability for intercity passenger transportation.- Transport policy models and transport policy development — a major challenge or a search for a “philosopher’s stone”?.- Application of demographic and econometric models to regional transportation planning.- New trends in rural feeder roads planning.- Panel discussion.- What overall economic and social issues will be relevant in the coming decade and what is their impact on transport.- Mr. Silverleaf.- Mr. Manheim.- Mr. Frybourg.- Mr. De Waele.- Mr. Frenzel.- Mr. Baffour.- Mr. Suchorzevski.- Mr. Harral.- What could be the impact of uncertainties, especially for transport and what is the way in which transport could be used as one of the instruments to cope with some of the uncertainties.- Mr. Suchorzevski.- Mr. Manheim.- Mr. Frybourg.- Mr. Silverleaf.- Mr. De Waele.- Mr. Harral.- Mr. Baffour.- Mr. Frenzel.- Mr. P. Patin.- Mr. M. Esteve Rios.- Mr. K. Vonk.- Mr. G. C. Meeuse.- Mr. L. Sjoestedt.- Mr. A. Hussain.- Mr. Suchorzevski.- Mr. Frybourg.- Mr. Manheim.- Mr. Frenzel.- Mr. Silverleaf.- Mr. Noortman.- Mr. Manheim.- Mr. Silverleaf.- Mr. Baffour.- Mr. Frybourg.- Mr. De Waele.- Mr. Harral.- Mr. J. H. Doyen.- Speaker’s name unknown.- Mr. D. L’Huillier.- Mr. A. Kanafani.- Mr. P. K. Wheeler.- Mr. A. L. Webster.- Mr. Noortman.- Mr. Suchorzevski.