The Dynamics of the Computer Industry: Modeling the Supply of Workstations and their Components

1 Introduction.- 1.1 Problem Statement.- 1.2 Computer Technologies.- 1.3 Computer Systems and Workstations.- 1.4 Contributions.- 1.5 Key Findings.- 1.6 Outline and Summary.- 2 Definitions, Terminology, and Concepts.- 2.1 The Workstation.- 2.2 Semiconductor ICs.- 2.3 Magnetic Hard Disks.- 2.4 Color CRT Displays.- 2.5 UNIX Operating System.- 3 Workstation Supply Models.- 3.1 Simulation Overview.- 3.2 ICs Supply Model: Microprocessors and DRAMs.- 3.3 Magnetic Hard Disk Supply Model.- 3.4 Color CRT Display Supply Model.- 3.5 UNIX Operating System Supply Model.- 3.6 Workstation Assembly Model.- 4 Model Behavior and Sensitivity Results.- 4.1 Component Cost, Single Unit Price, and Bulk Price.- 4.2 Component Supply Model Inputs.- 4.3 ICs: Model Results and Actual Market Data.- 4.4 Magnetic Storage: Model Results and Actual Market Data.- 4.5 Color CRT Display: Model Results and Actual Market Data.- 4.6 UNIX: Model Results and Actual Market Data.- 4.7 Workstation Assembly Model: Inputs and Projected Results.- 4.8 Sensitivity Analyses.- 5 Conclusions and Suggestions for Future Research.- 5.1 Suggestions for Future Research.- 5.2 Final Comments.- References.