Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs

Preface to the second edition; Preface to the first edition; Part I. Time: 1. Decision; 2. Imagination, expectation, anticipation; 3. The solitary moment; 4. Insulated dynamic schemes; 5. Three critics; 6. Time and decision in sum; Part II. Uncertainty: 7. Uncertainty as probability; 8. Professor Niehans on probability; 9. Uncertainty as possibility; 10. Potential surprise axiomatized; 11. Critics of potential surprise; 12. Uncertainty in sum; Part III. Ascendancy: 14. A basic model; 15. The neutral outcome; 16. Cardinality; 17. The cardinal potential surprise curve; 18. The ascendancy function; 19. Focus elements; 20. Choice amongst actions; 21. Critics of focus elements; 22. Mr Egerton's theory of asset portfolios; 23. Ascendancy in sum; Part IV. Expectation of Change of Own Expectation: 24. Expectation of change of own expectation; 25. The basis of change of expectations; Part V. Some Economic Illustrations: 26. Horizon, interest and investment; 27. A theory of the interest rate; 28. Profit and the range of non-revision; 29. Order and decision in economics; Part VI. Policy, Profit and Decision: 30. Policy, profit and decision; Bibliography; Index.