Statistics Hacks
Tips & Tools for Measuring the World and Beating the Odds
Samenvatting
Why leave your life to chance? Instead, learn some tricks of probability and take control of your fate. 'Statistics Hacks' shows you how.
Using the tools of inferential statistics, you can understand the way probability works, discover relationships, predict event with uncanny accuracy, and even make a little money with a well-placed wager here and there.
'Statistics Hacks' presents useful techniques from statistics, educational and psychological measurement, and experimental research to help you solve a variety of problems in business, games, and life. You'll learn how to:
- Play smart when you play Texas Hold 'Em, blackjack, roulette, dice games, or even the lottery;
- Design your own winnable bar bets to make money and amaze your friends;
- Predict the outcomes of baseball games, know when to "go for two" in football, and anticipate the winners of other sporting events with surprising accuracy;
- Demystify amazing coincidences and distinguish the truly random from the only seemingly random - even keep your iPod's "random" shuffle honest;
- Spot fraudulent data, detect plagiarism, and break codes;
- Improve your test scores by watching paint dry.
Whether you're a statistics enthusiast who does calculations in your sleep or a civilian who is entertained by clever solutions to interesting problems, 'Statistics Hacks' has tools to give you an edge over the world's slim odds.
Specificaties
Inhoudsopgave
Preface
Chapter 1. The Basics
1. Know the Big Secret
2. Describe the World Using Just Two Numbers
3. Figure the Odds
4. Reject the Null
5. Go Big to Get Small
6. Measure Precisely
7. Measure Up
8. Power Up
9. Show Cause and Effect
10. Know Big When You See It
Chapter 2. Discovering Relationships
11. Discover Relationships
12. Graph Relationships
13. Use One Variable to Predict Another
14. Use More Than One Variable to Predict Another
15. Identify Unexpected Outcomes
16. Identify Unexpected Relationships
17. Compare Two Groups
18. Find Out Just How Wrong You Really Are
19. Sample Fairly
20. Sample with a Touch of Scotch
21. Choose the Honest Average
22. Avoid the Axis of Evil
Chapter 3. Measuring the World
23. See the Shape of Everything
24. Produce Percentiles
25. Predict the Future with the Normal Curve
26. Give Raw Scores a Makeover
27. Standardize Scores
28. Ask the Right Questions
29. Test Fairly
30. Improve Your Test Score While Watching Paint Dry
31. Establish Reliability
32. Establish Validity
33. Predict the Length of a Lifetime
34. Make Wise Medical Decisions
Chapter 4. Beating the Odds
35. Gamble Smart
36. Know When to Hold 'Em
37. Know When to Fold 'Em
38. Know When to Walk Away
39. Lose Slowly at Roulette
40. Play in the Black in Blackjack
41. Play Smart When You Play the Lottery
42. Play with Cards and Get Lucky
43. Play with Dice and Get Lucky
44. Sharpen Your Card-Sharping
45. Amaze Your 23 Closest Friends
46. Design Your Own Bar Bet
47. Go Crazy with Wild Cards
48. Never Trust an Honest Coin
49. Know Your Limit
Chapter 5. Playing Games
50. Avoid the Zonk
51. Pass Go, Collect $200, Win the Game
52. Use Random Selection as Artificial Intelligence
53. Do Card Tricks Through the Mail
54. Check Your iPod's Honesty
55. Predict the Game Winners
56. Predict the Outcome of a Baseball Game
57. Plot Histograms in Excel
58. Go for Two
59. Rank with the Best of Them
60. Estimate Pi by Chance
Chapter 6. Thinking Smart
61. Outsmart Superman
62. Demystify Amazing Coincidences
63. Sense the Real Randomness of Life
64. Spot Faked Data
65. Give Credit Where Credit Is Due
66. Play a Tune on Pascal's Triangle
67. Control Random Thoughts
68. Search for ESP
69. Cure Conjunctionitus
70. Break Codes with Etaoin Shrdlu
71. Discover a New Species
72. Feel Connected
73. Learn to Ride a Votercycle
74. Live Life in the Fast Lane (You're Already In)
75. Seek Out New Life and New Civilizations
Index
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