Alternative Theories of Output, Unemployment, and Inflation in Germany: 1960–1985

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Paperback, 206 blz. | Engels
Springer Berlin Heidelberg | 0e druk, 1989
ISBN13: 9783540509080
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Springer Berlin Heidelberg 0e druk, 1989 9783540509080
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Samenvatting

by Jerome L. Stein Disenchantment with Keynesian econollics developed during the post-1968 period when the rate of growth of output declined, the rate of unemployment rose, and the rate of inflation increased in the U.S. and in other countries. This paradox, called stagflation, was inconsistent with the tenet of Keynesian economics that cyclical movemants in prices and output relative to their respective trends are positively correlated. A search occurred for a more satisfactory theory of macroeconomics which could explain the paradox of stagflation and the observed economic phenomena. The New Classical Economics (NCE) developed as the total rejection of Keynesian economics. The Keynesians claimed that their demand management policies contributed to the obsolescence of the business cycle and successfully eliminated the gap between full employment (potential) output and actusl output. The NCE argued just the opposite: the unemplo~nt rate or growth rate of real output is insensitive to systematic demand management policies [Lucas; Sargent and Wallace].

Specificaties

ISBN13:9783540509080
Taal:Engels
Bindwijze:paperback
Aantal pagina's:206
Uitgever:Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Druk:0
Hoofdrubriek:Economie

Inhoudsopgave

I Introduction.- II The German Economy: 1960–1985.- 1. Institutional Arrangements.- 2. Twenty-Five Years of Economic Policy Making.- 3. The Performance of the German Economy: 1960–1985.- III Survey and Critique of the Literature: Empirical Studies of the German Macroeconomy.- 1. Introduction.- 2. Impulse-Theoretic Models.- 3. Monetarist, Keynesian, and Rational Expectations Models.- 4. Structural Models of Other Open Economies.- 5. Phillips Curve Studies.- 6. Causality Studies.- 7. A Critical Evaluation of Previous Studies of Germany.- IV Fixed Versus Flexible Exchange Rates in the Open Economy: Theory and Reality.- 1. Introduction.- 2. Open Economy Macroeconomics: A Synthesis View.- 2.1. The Theoretical Framework.- 2.2. The Fixed Exchange Rate Case.- 2.3. The Flexible Exchange Rate Case.- 2.4. Summary and Critique of the Synthesis View.- 3. Open Economy Macroeconomics and Reality.- 3.1. Theoretical Considerations.- 3.2. Methodological Considerations.- 3.3. Empirical Realities.- 3.4. Open Economy Macroeconomics and Reality: Where do We Stand?.- V Monetarist, Keynesian, and New Classical Theories of Output, Unemployment, and Inflation in Germany: 1960–1985.- 1. Introduction.- 2. The General Theoretical Framework.- 2.1. The Structural Equations of the General Model.- 2.2. The Relationship of Output and Unemployment.- 3. Alternative Views of Unemployment, Output, and Inflation.- 3.1. The Monetarist Specification.- 3.2. The New Classical Specification.- 3.3. The Keynesian Specification.- 4. Empirical Evidence.- 4.1. The Unanticipated Money Growth Series.- 4.2. Technical Notes.- 4.3. The Unemployment Equation: Monetarist versus New Classical Theories.- 4.4. The Output Equation: Monetarist versus New Classical Theories.- 4.5. The Inflation Equation: Monetarist versus Keynesian Theories.- 5. A “Correct” Model of the German Economy? Conclusions and Outlook.- Table Appendix to Chapter V.- Data Sources.

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        Alternative Theories of Output, Unemployment, and Inflation in Germany: 1960–1985